What Explains Putin’s Embrace Of The Conventional COVID-19 Narrative?

What Explains Putin’s Embrace Of The Conventional COVID-19 Narrative?

ByByGP EditorDecember 5, 202113 min read

This is a republication of a post authored by Andrew Korybko, which was first published in OneWorld. It has been adapted with full permissions obtained from the author. The purpose of this analysis is to explain why the Russian leader embraces the conventional COVID-19 narrative despite emerging evidence that casts doubt upon some of the claims about the virus’ lethality and associated containment strategies. Self-interested influencers in the Alt-Media Community (AMC) misportrayed President Putin’s response to COVID-19 to spin the falsehood…

What’s Former Kremlin Grey Cardinal Surkov’s Prediction for the Future?

What’s Former Kremlin Grey Cardinal Surkov’s Prediction for the Future?

ByByGP EditorDecember 2, 202119 min read

This is a republication of a post authored by Andrew Korybko, which was first published in OneWorld. It has been adapted with full permissions obtained from the author. Summarizing Surkov “Exporting chaos is nothing new. Divide and Conquer is an ancient recipe. Separation is synonymous with chaos. Unite your own + disunite others = you will rule over both. Russia will expand not because it is good, and not because it is bad, but because…

How the Cushitic Alliance, Antagonistic Diplomacy, and Divergent Strategic Interests in Somalia have Botched Kenya-Ethiopia Relations

How the Cushitic Alliance, Antagonistic Diplomacy, and Divergent Strategic Interests in Somalia have Botched Kenya-Ethiopia Relations

ByByGP EditorOctober 8, 202123 min read

On October 27, 2020, the President of Puntland State in Somalia, Said Abdullahi Deni, visited Addis Ababa where his host, Ethiopia’s Prime Minister (PM), Abiy Ahmed Ali, impressed on him to support President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed “Farmaajo” in the 2021 Presidential elections in Somalia. This was part of efforts by Abiy Ahmed and his Eritrean counterpart, President Isayas Afewerki, to ensure that Farmaajo is re-elected (in 2021). However, the meeting did not yield the expected…

Candid Conversation about the Ethiopian Crisis and its Prognosis

Candid Conversation about the Ethiopian Crisis and its Prognosis

ByByGP EditorAugust 28, 202124 min read

Last week, the editor of this website had a candid, open, and unguarded conversation with a friend and professional acquaintance who has worked with American and British governments, and currently works in Kenya, but what he does will not be divulged. The editor asked for permission to publish some details of the conversation, subject to respecting dialogues that he (the acquaintance) does not want published. The editor got the permission but on the premise of…

Regional Isolation Increases the Probability of Violent Regime Change in the Isolated Nation

Regional Isolation Increases the Probability of Violent Regime Change in the Isolated Nation

ByByGP EditorAugust 28, 20219 min read

On August 13, France suspended its military cooperation with Ethiopia, and in the process withdrew a US$100 million loan facility that was to be extended to Ethiopia to build its naval capacity. This was due to pressure from USG and EU (of which France is a member nation). Eight days later on August 21, 2021, a collective of Eritreans, Somalis, and Ethiopians started a twitter campaign with the hashtag #AmisomOut. A few hours later (after…

Realism during Crisis – Geoeconomics, Indecisive America, and Foreign-backed Rebellions

Realism during Crisis – Geoeconomics, Indecisive America, and Foreign-backed Rebellions

ByByGP EditorAugust 25, 202114 min read

A commentary authored by Michael Rubin, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and published on July 23, 2021 by the 19FortyFive Group, hinted at the possibility that President Xi Jinping may send an expeditionary force to help Ethiopians defeat Tigrayan rebels. The Chinese have been quiet about this issue to date. But is this possible, and why would China want to intervene militarily in Africa? China rarely makes categorical statements about domestic issues…

From Great Lakes to Horn of Africa – Violent Regime Change for Authoritarian Minority Rule and Mass Atrocities

From Great Lakes to Horn of Africa – Violent Regime Change for Authoritarian Minority Rule and Mass Atrocities

ByByGP EditorAugust 20, 202118 min read

United States Government (USG) has always considered Africa as a continent where it can impose regime change with ease. Its adventures with regime change in Iraq and Afghanistan have been disastrous, with USG being defeated in both nations and the new regimes refusing to show deference (to USG). In Africa, interventionist policy makers can advocate for regime change because they can exploit political competition. In most African nations, political competition can become violent if it…

Realism during Crisis, State Contraction, and Regime Change Operations

Realism during Crisis, State Contraction, and Regime Change Operations

ByByGP EditorAugust 11, 202113 min read

This is part one of a two part series. Part two is posted here. On August 11, 2021, the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) announced that it has entered into a military alliance with the Tigray Defense Forces (TDF) with OLA’s leader, Kumsa Diriba, expressing their shared goal as “overthrowing this government (GoE) militarily”. OLA and TPLF (which controls TDF) are recognized as terrorist organizations by the Ethiopian constitution, with TDF existing in a legal lacuna…

From Basma to Ethiopia – How C2FC is Using Lethal Journalism to Conduct Information Warfare and Lawfare against Ethiopia

From Basma to Ethiopia – How C2FC is Using Lethal Journalism to Conduct Information Warfare and Lawfare against Ethiopia

ByByGP EditorJuly 27, 202117 min read

On November 10, 2020, a 7-page report that discussed the potential unraveling of Ethiopia – due to the outbreak of war between the Federal Military and TPLF – was concluded and forwarded to a carefully selected team of EU officials, who would then present it to the EU council. The scenario considered in the report was a potential deluge of refugees into Europe from a disturbed region, the Horn of Africa (HoA). The report cautiously…

“Armed Hezbollah” in America, Call for a Coup, and Augmented Political Warfare against Ethiopia

“Armed Hezbollah” in America, Call for a Coup, and Augmented Political Warfare against Ethiopia

ByByGP EditorJuly 24, 20217 min read

This is part two of the series Augmented Political Warfare. Follow this link to read Part One. In 2020 and 2021, two regional hegemons, and anchor nations of their respective regions, found themselves at odds with successive administrations in the White House. These 2 nations pride themselves as millennia-old civilizations that have survived into the modern era, and are now republics committed to honor their priceless historical achievements. Also, these nations are currently led by…

People’s Dam Impounded, GERD-Locked Diplomacy, and Egypt’s Red Line for a Non-Deferent Ethiopia

People’s Dam Impounded, GERD-Locked Diplomacy, and Egypt’s Red Line for a Non-Deferent Ethiopia

ByByGP EditorJuly 22, 202114 min read

“My mothers seek respite From years of abject poverty Their sons a bright future And the right to pursue prosperity”Ethiopia Speaks – A Poem by Billene Aster Seyoum On July 19, 2021, the Ethiopian government announced the impounding and topping of GERD, in defiance of American and Egyptian demands. This suggests that the second filling of GERD is now complete, and the 2 installed hydraulic turbines can generate electricity for domestic use and export to…

Infernal Peace in Ethiopia: Scenario Generation, Muslim Brotherhood, and Electricity for Peace

Infernal Peace in Ethiopia: Scenario Generation, Muslim Brotherhood, and Electricity for Peace

ByByGP EditorJuly 18, 202118 min read

In August 2020, the Trump administration froze US$130 million of foreign assistance to Ethiopia because the Ethiopian government repeatedly rejected Egyptian proposals about how the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is to be filled, and what share of waters of the Blue Nile the Ethiopian people are entitled to use. So far, Ethiopia has asserted its inviolable right to exercise sediment control and flood control over the Blue Nile, as well as invoked its right…

What Explains Putin’s Embrace Of The Conventional COVID-19 Narrative?

What Explains Putin’s Embrace Of The Conventional COVID-19 Narrative?

ByByGP EditorDecember 5, 202113 min read

This is a republication of a post authored by Andrew Korybko, which was first published in OneWorld. It has been adapted with full permissions obtained from the author. The purpose of this analysis is to explain why the Russian leader embraces the conventional COVID-19 narrative despite emerging evidence that casts doubt upon some of the claims about the virus’ lethality and associated containment strategies. Self-interested influencers in the Alt-Media Community (AMC) misportrayed President Putin’s response to COVID-19 to spin the falsehood…

What’s Former Kremlin Grey Cardinal Surkov’s Prediction for the Future?

What’s Former Kremlin Grey Cardinal Surkov’s Prediction for the Future?

ByByGP EditorDecember 2, 202119 min read

This is a republication of a post authored by Andrew Korybko, which was first published in OneWorld. It has been adapted with full permissions obtained from the author. Summarizing Surkov “Exporting chaos is nothing new. Divide and Conquer is an ancient recipe. Separation is synonymous with chaos. Unite your own + disunite others = you will rule over both. Russia will expand not because it is good, and not because it is bad, but because…

How the Cushitic Alliance, Antagonistic Diplomacy, and Divergent Strategic Interests in Somalia have Botched Kenya-Ethiopia Relations

How the Cushitic Alliance, Antagonistic Diplomacy, and Divergent Strategic Interests in Somalia have Botched Kenya-Ethiopia Relations

ByByGP EditorOctober 8, 202123 min read

On October 27, 2020, the President of Puntland State in Somalia, Said Abdullahi Deni, visited Addis Ababa where his host, Ethiopia’s Prime Minister (PM), Abiy Ahmed Ali, impressed on him to support President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed “Farmaajo” in the 2021 Presidential elections in Somalia. This was part of efforts by Abiy Ahmed and his Eritrean counterpart, President Isayas Afewerki, to ensure that Farmaajo is re-elected (in 2021). However, the meeting did not yield the expected…

Candid Conversation about the Ethiopian Crisis and its Prognosis

Candid Conversation about the Ethiopian Crisis and its Prognosis

ByByGP EditorAugust 28, 202124 min read

Last week, the editor of this website had a candid, open, and unguarded conversation with a friend and professional acquaintance who has worked with American and British governments, and currently works in Kenya, but what he does will not be divulged. The editor asked for permission to publish some details of the conversation, subject to respecting dialogues that he (the acquaintance) does not want published. The editor got the permission but on the premise of…

Regional Isolation Increases the Probability of Violent Regime Change in the Isolated Nation

Regional Isolation Increases the Probability of Violent Regime Change in the Isolated Nation

ByByGP EditorAugust 28, 20219 min read

On August 13, France suspended its military cooperation with Ethiopia, and in the process withdrew a US$100 million loan facility that was to be extended to Ethiopia to build its naval capacity. This was due to pressure from USG and EU (of which France is a member nation). Eight days later on August 21, 2021, a collective of Eritreans, Somalis, and Ethiopians started a twitter campaign with the hashtag #AmisomOut. A few hours later (after…

Realism during Crisis – Geoeconomics, Indecisive America, and Foreign-backed Rebellions

Realism during Crisis – Geoeconomics, Indecisive America, and Foreign-backed Rebellions

ByByGP EditorAugust 25, 202114 min read

A commentary authored by Michael Rubin, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and published on July 23, 2021 by the 19FortyFive Group, hinted at the possibility that President Xi Jinping may send an expeditionary force to help Ethiopians defeat Tigrayan rebels. The Chinese have been quiet about this issue to date. But is this possible, and why would China want to intervene militarily in Africa? China rarely makes categorical statements about domestic issues…

From Great Lakes to Horn of Africa – Violent Regime Change for Authoritarian Minority Rule and Mass Atrocities

From Great Lakes to Horn of Africa – Violent Regime Change for Authoritarian Minority Rule and Mass Atrocities

ByByGP EditorAugust 20, 202118 min read

United States Government (USG) has always considered Africa as a continent where it can impose regime change with ease. Its adventures with regime change in Iraq and Afghanistan have been disastrous, with USG being defeated in both nations and the new regimes refusing to show deference (to USG). In Africa, interventionist policy makers can advocate for regime change because they can exploit political competition. In most African nations, political competition can become violent if it…

Realism during Crisis, State Contraction, and Regime Change Operations

Realism during Crisis, State Contraction, and Regime Change Operations

ByByGP EditorAugust 11, 202113 min read

This is part one of a two part series. Part two is posted here. On August 11, 2021, the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) announced that it has entered into a military alliance with the Tigray Defense Forces (TDF) with OLA’s leader, Kumsa Diriba, expressing their shared goal as “overthrowing this government (GoE) militarily”. OLA and TPLF (which controls TDF) are recognized as terrorist organizations by the Ethiopian constitution, with TDF existing in a legal lacuna…

From Basma to Ethiopia – How C2FC is Using Lethal Journalism to Conduct Information Warfare and Lawfare against Ethiopia

From Basma to Ethiopia – How C2FC is Using Lethal Journalism to Conduct Information Warfare and Lawfare against Ethiopia

ByByGP EditorJuly 27, 202117 min read

On November 10, 2020, a 7-page report that discussed the potential unraveling of Ethiopia – due to the outbreak of war between the Federal Military and TPLF – was concluded and forwarded to a carefully selected team of EU officials, who would then present it to the EU council. The scenario considered in the report was a potential deluge of refugees into Europe from a disturbed region, the Horn of Africa (HoA). The report cautiously…

“Armed Hezbollah” in America, Call for a Coup, and Augmented Political Warfare against Ethiopia

“Armed Hezbollah” in America, Call for a Coup, and Augmented Political Warfare against Ethiopia

ByByGP EditorJuly 24, 20217 min read

This is part two of the series Augmented Political Warfare. Follow this link to read Part One. In 2020 and 2021, two regional hegemons, and anchor nations of their respective regions, found themselves at odds with successive administrations in the White House. These 2 nations pride themselves as millennia-old civilizations that have survived into the modern era, and are now republics committed to honor their priceless historical achievements. Also, these nations are currently led by…

People’s Dam Impounded, GERD-Locked Diplomacy, and Egypt’s Red Line for a Non-Deferent Ethiopia

People’s Dam Impounded, GERD-Locked Diplomacy, and Egypt’s Red Line for a Non-Deferent Ethiopia

ByByGP EditorJuly 22, 202114 min read

“My mothers seek respite From years of abject poverty Their sons a bright future And the right to pursue prosperity”Ethiopia Speaks – A Poem by Billene Aster Seyoum On July 19, 2021, the Ethiopian government announced the impounding and topping of GERD, in defiance of American and Egyptian demands. This suggests that the second filling of GERD is now complete, and the 2 installed hydraulic turbines can generate electricity for domestic use and export to…

Infernal Peace in Ethiopia: Scenario Generation, Muslim Brotherhood, and Electricity for Peace

Infernal Peace in Ethiopia: Scenario Generation, Muslim Brotherhood, and Electricity for Peace

ByByGP EditorJuly 18, 202118 min read

In August 2020, the Trump administration froze US$130 million of foreign assistance to Ethiopia because the Ethiopian government repeatedly rejected Egyptian proposals about how the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is to be filled, and what share of waters of the Blue Nile the Ethiopian people are entitled to use. So far, Ethiopia has asserted its inviolable right to exercise sediment control and flood control over the Blue Nile, as well as invoked its right…

What Explains Putin’s Embrace Of The Conventional COVID-19 Narrative?

What Explains Putin’s Embrace Of The Conventional COVID-19 Narrative?

ByGP EditorDecember 5, 20210 comments13 min read

This is a republication of a post authored by Andrew Korybko, which was first published in OneWorld. It has been adapted with full permissions obtained from the author. The purpose of this analysis is to explain why the Russian leader embraces the conventional COVID-19 narrative despite emerging evidence that casts doubt upon some of the claims about the virus’ lethality and associated containment strategies. Self-interested influencers in the Alt-Media Community (AMC) misportrayed President Putin’s response to COVID-19 to spin the falsehood that he’s supposedly against the…

How the Cushitic Alliance, Antagonistic Diplomacy, and Divergent Strategic Interests in Somalia have Botched Kenya-Ethiopia Relations

How the Cushitic Alliance, Antagonistic Diplomacy, and Divergent Strategic Interests in Somalia have Botched Kenya-Ethiopia Relations

ByGP EditorOctober 8, 20210 comments23 min read

On October 27, 2020, the President of Puntland State in Somalia, Said Abdullahi Deni, visited Addis Ababa where his host, Ethiopia’s Prime Minister (PM), Abiy Ahmed Ali, impressed on him to support President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed “Farmaajo” in the 2021 Presidential elections in Somalia. This was part of efforts by Abiy Ahmed and his Eritrean counterpart, President Isayas Afewerki, to ensure that Farmaajo is re-elected (in 2021). However, the meeting did not yield the expected results as reported by the…

What Explains Putin’s Embrace Of The Conventional COVID-19 Narrative?

What Explains Putin’s Embrace Of The Conventional COVID-19 Narrative?

ByByGP EditorDecember 5, 2021013 min read

This is a republication of a post authored by Andrew Korybko, which was first published in OneWorld. It has been adapted with full permissions obtained from the author. The purpose of this analysis is to explain why the Russian leader embraces the conventional COVID-19 narrative despite emerging evidence that casts doubt upon some of…

What’s Former Kremlin Grey Cardinal Surkov’s Prediction for the Future?

What’s Former Kremlin Grey Cardinal Surkov’s Prediction for the Future?

ByByGP EditorDecember 2, 2021019 min read

This is a republication of a post authored by Andrew Korybko, which was first published in OneWorld. It has been adapted with full permissions obtained from the author. Summarizing Surkov “Exporting chaos is nothing new. Divide and Conquer is an ancient recipe. Separation is synonymous with chaos. Unite your own…

How the Cushitic Alliance, Antagonistic Diplomacy, and Divergent Strategic Interests in Somalia have Botched Kenya-Ethiopia Relations

How the Cushitic Alliance, Antagonistic Diplomacy, and Divergent Strategic Interests in Somalia have Botched Kenya-Ethiopia Relations

ByByGP EditorOctober 8, 2021023 min read

On October 27, 2020, the President of Puntland State in Somalia, Said Abdullahi Deni, visited Addis Ababa where his host, Ethiopia’s Prime Minister (PM), Abiy Ahmed Ali, impressed on him to support President Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed “Farmaajo” in the 2021 Presidential elections in Somalia. This was part of efforts by…

Candid Conversation about the Ethiopian Crisis and its Prognosis

Candid Conversation about the Ethiopian Crisis and its Prognosis

ByByGP EditorAugust 28, 20213624 min read

Last week, the editor of this website had a candid, open, and unguarded conversation with a friend and professional acquaintance who has worked with American and British governments, and currently works in Kenya, but what he does will not be divulged. The editor asked for permission to publish some details…

Regional Isolation Increases the Probability of Violent Regime Change in the Isolated Nation

Regional Isolation Increases the Probability of Violent Regime Change in the Isolated Nation

ByByGP EditorAugust 28, 202129 min read

On August 13, France suspended its military cooperation with Ethiopia, and in the process withdrew a US$100 million loan facility that was to be extended to Ethiopia to build its naval capacity. This was due to pressure from USG and EU (of which France is a member nation). Eight days…

Realism during Crisis – Geoeconomics, Indecisive America, and Foreign-backed Rebellions

Realism during Crisis – Geoeconomics, Indecisive America, and Foreign-backed Rebellions

ByByGP EditorAugust 25, 2021214 min read

A commentary authored by Michael Rubin, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, and published on July 23, 2021 by the 19FortyFive Group, hinted at the possibility that President Xi Jinping may send an expeditionary force to help Ethiopians defeat Tigrayan rebels. The Chinese have been quiet about this…

From Great Lakes to Horn of Africa – Violent Regime Change for Authoritarian Minority Rule and Mass Atrocities

From Great Lakes to Horn of Africa – Violent Regime Change for Authoritarian Minority Rule and Mass Atrocities

GP EditorAugust 20, 202118 min read

United States Government (USG) has always considered Africa as a continent where it can impose regime change with ease. Its adventures with regime change in Iraq and Afghanistan have been disastrous, with USG being defeated in both nations and the new regimes refusing to show deference (to USG). In Africa,…

Realism during Crisis, State Contraction, and Regime Change Operations

GP EditorAugust 11, 2021

This is part one of a two part series. Part two is posted here. On August 11, 2021, the Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) announced that it has entered into a military alliance with the Tigray Defense Forces (TDF) with OLA’s leader, Kumsa Diriba, expressing their shared goal as “overthrowing this…

From Basma to Ethiopia – How C2FC is Using Lethal Journalism to Conduct Information Warfare and Lawfare against Ethiopia

GP EditorJuly 27, 2021

On November 10, 2020, a 7-page report that discussed the potential unraveling of Ethiopia – due to the outbreak of war between the Federal Military and TPLF – was concluded and forwarded to a carefully selected team of EU officials, who would then present it to the EU council. The…

“Armed Hezbollah” in America, Call for a Coup, and Augmented Political Warfare against Ethiopia

GP EditorJuly 24, 2021

This is part two of the series Augmented Political Warfare. Follow this link to read Part One. In 2020 and 2021, two regional hegemons, and anchor nations of their respective regions, found themselves at odds with successive administrations in the White House. These 2 nations pride themselves as millennia-old civilizations…

People’s Dam Impounded, GERD-Locked Diplomacy, and Egypt’s Red Line for a Non-Deferent Ethiopia

GP EditorJuly 22, 2021

“My mothers seek respite From years of abject poverty Their sons a bright future And the right to pursue prosperity”Ethiopia Speaks – A Poem by Billene Aster Seyoum On July 19, 2021, the Ethiopian government announced the impounding and topping of GERD, in defiance of American and Egyptian demands. This…

Infernal Peace in Ethiopia: Scenario Generation, Muslim Brotherhood, and Electricity for Peace

GP EditorJuly 18, 2021

In August 2020, the Trump administration froze US$130 million of foreign assistance to Ethiopia because the Ethiopian government repeatedly rejected Egyptian proposals about how the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is to be filled, and what share of waters of the Blue Nile the Ethiopian people are entitled to use.…

How Enhanced Political Warfare that Failed against Xi Jinping is being used to Weaken Ethiopia

GP EditorJuly 15, 2021

In the Tigray crisis, the Biden Administration and its European allies – with generous support from Egyptian, Tigrayan, and Kenyan military and intelligence institutions – have managed to bleed Ethiopia of financial and human resources; and then secure withdrawal of the Ethiopian military from large swathes of Tigray region. This…

Infernal Peace in Ethiopia – Forging National Survival in Pragmatism and Realism

GP EditorJuly 12, 2021

In 1870s, Khedive Ismail Pasha of Egypt ordered his Chief of Staff, William Wing Loring, to invade Ethiopia and annex the Abbay river basin for the Khedivate crown. This followed the successful annexation of Sanjak of Habesh in 1866, which precipitated the dissolution of the Ottoman Habesh Eyalet that occurred…